Flood Forecasting

Flood Forecasting

Our current plans for flood forecasting involve three phases:

1. Short-term prediction
2. Crest prediction
3. Flood forecasting

Short-term Prediction

By "short-term prediction", we mean extrapolating from current water levels in order to predict when near-term critical events like road-crossings will happen.

Crest Prediction

We want to be able to predict crest timing at a particular gage or area based on the timing of crests at upstream gages.

Flood Forecasting

Long-term, we want to build a model using all of the possible inputs that might have an effect on water level. Examples:

• Weather forecasts
  • Rainfall
  • Temperature

Using this model, we want to be able to try to predict water levels well in advance of flood events.