Difference between revisions of "Flood Forecasting"
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(Created page with "== Flood Forecasting Roadmap == # Get '''data''' # Forecast # Profit! === Requirements === ==== Possible Requirements ==== ==== Explicit Non-Requirements ==== === Open Qu...") |
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| − | == Flood Forecasting | + | __NOTOC__ |
| − | + | == Flood Forecasting == | |
| − | |||
| − | |||
| − | + | Our current plans for flood forecasting involve three phases: | |
| − | + | # Short-term prediction | |
| + | # Crest prediction | ||
| + | # Flood forecasting | ||
| − | === | + | === Short-term Prediction === |
| − | + | By "short-term prediction", we mean extrapolating from current water levels in order | |
| + | to predict when near-term critical events like road-crossings will happen. | ||
| − | === | + | === Crest Prediction === |
| + | |||
| + | We want to be able to predict crest timing at a particular gage or area based on the | ||
| + | timing of crests at upstream gages. | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Flood Forecasting === | ||
| + | |||
| + | Long-term, we want to build a model using all of the possible inputs that might | ||
| + | have an effect on water level. Examples: | ||
| + | * Weather forecasts | ||
| + | ** Rainfall | ||
| + | ** Temperature | ||
| + | |||
| + | Using this model, we want to be able to try to predict water levels well in advance of flood events. | ||
Revision as of 14:30, 31 March 2020
Flood Forecasting
Our current plans for flood forecasting involve three phases:
- Short-term prediction
- Crest prediction
- Flood forecasting
Short-term Prediction
By "short-term prediction", we mean extrapolating from current water levels in order to predict when near-term critical events like road-crossings will happen.
Crest Prediction
We want to be able to predict crest timing at a particular gage or area based on the timing of crests at upstream gages.
Flood Forecasting
Long-term, we want to build a model using all of the possible inputs that might have an effect on water level. Examples:
- Weather forecasts
- Rainfall
- Temperature
Using this model, we want to be able to try to predict water levels well in advance of flood events.
